Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Championship Group - Round 7

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Porto U19		Farense U19

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.8	6.5
	1.35	5	6.5
	1.37	4.9	6.34
	1.37	4.9	6.34
	1.32	4.85	7.5
	1.35	5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	4.91 ↓ (5.5)	6.61 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto U19
67.6%

Draw
18.6%

Farense U19
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

16.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

11.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Farense U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto U19 than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense U19 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farense U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent matches Porto U19 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farense U19 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Farense U19 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Porto U19 have a series of guest games.

In this match Porto U19 is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
30.03.24	Braga U19 - Porto U19	2:1 ✺
UEFA Youth League
13.03.24	Mainz U19 - Porto U19	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
09.03.24	Porto U19 - Benfica U19	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Famalicão U19 - Porto U19	1:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
27.02.24	AZ Alkmaar U19 - Porto U19	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- SC Farense U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
29.03.24	Farense U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Farense U19 - Braga U19	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Benfica U19 - Farense U19	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Farense U19 - Famalicão U19	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Farense U19	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Porto U19 - Farense U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide