The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 24.6%
Draw 22.8%
Sunderland 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
22.1%
57.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
21.2%
60.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portsmouth - Sunderland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gray J. S. (G) 2. Bull J. (C) 43. Peacock N. 15. Humphries G. 5. Coan H. 47. Milner E. 22. Primmer T. 24. Estcourt C. 7. Freeland G. 11. Hornby M. 12. Shepherd L.
1. Lambourne D. (G) 11. Brown J. 4. Greenwood H. 27. Westrup B. (C) 24. Hamilton C. 21. Sheva M. 14. Fenton N. 7. Watson K. 10. Kitching K. 26. Griffiths M. 9. Dale E.
Substitutes
4. Barker S. 56. Erhabor C. (G) 17. Hutchings A. 9. Jones E. 18. Nixon A. 8. Rowbotham A. 14. Wilding A. 19. Woolley J. 6. Younger J.
37. Blades R. 60. Blench J. (G) 17. Finn J. 20. Jones E. 18. McInnes L. 31. Paxton C. 8. Scarr E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Dale E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kitching K. ↓, McInnes L. ↑,
66', Shepherd L. ↓, Jones E. ↑,
66', Milner E. ↓, Nixon A. ↑,
66', Watson K. ↓, Scarr E. ↑,
82', Freeland G. ↓, Hutchings A. ↑,
83', Humphries G. ↓, Wilding A. ↑,
85', Sheva M. ↓, Jones E. ↑,
85', Griffiths M. ↓, Finn J. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).
Cheltenham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sunderland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sunderland is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Cheltenham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.