The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 62.5%
Draw 21.5%
Sunderland 16%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.7%
23.4%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
22.5%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Bristol City - Sunderland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Brzykcy L. (G) 2. Powell E. 3. Lawley G. 4. Struck C. 14. Ward M. 5. Ingle S. 21. Dafeur M. 7. Robinson K. 16. Syme E. (C) 33. Gale J. 9. Hardy R.
16. Moloney G. (G) 27. Westrup B. 5. Roberts R. (C) 4. Greenwood H. 11. Brown J. 14. Fenton N. 21. Sheva M. 6. Griffiths L. 7. Watson K. 9. Dale E. 8. Scarr E.
Substitutes
19. Farrugia M. 23. Jones V. 10. Lloyd-Smith L. 8. Losada V. 48. Madden A. 18. Meena M. 6. O'Leary L. 24. Saez C.
37. Blades R. 60. Blench J. (G) 12. Cassap E. 17. Finn J. 20. Jones E. 10. Kitching K. 18. McInnes L. 31. Paxton C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gale J. ⚽, Hardy R. (A),
20', Roberts R. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Gale J. ⚽, Ingle S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Greenwood H. 🟨,
68', Greenwood H. ↓, Kitching K. ↑,
71', Dafeur M. 🟨,
76', Powell E. ↓, Saez C. ↑,
76', Robinson K. ↓, Losada V. ↑,
76', Gale J. ↓, Lloyd-Smith L. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Lloyd-Smith L. ⚽, Hardy R. (A),
84', Watson K. ↓, Jones E. ↑,
84', Dale E. ↓, Blades R. ↑,
88', Syme E. ↓, Farrugia M. ↑,
88', Dafeur M. ↓, Jones V. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL (Promotion: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
Bristol City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sunderland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Bristol City is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
United Kingdom
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Brzykcy L. (G) 
Powell E. 
Lawley G. 
Struck C. 
Dafeur M. 
Moloney G. (G) 
Westrup B. 
Farrugia M. 
Losada V. 
Saez C. 
Blades R. 
Kitching K. 
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