The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuense 31.3%
Draw 28.7%
Dos Hermanas 40%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.8%
30%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
31.4%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Dos Hermanas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dos Hermanas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dos Hermanas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dos Hermanas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portuense - Dos Hermanas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Tamayo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion).
In recent outings, Portuense has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Dos Hermanas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Dos Hermanas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Portuense has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Watch
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