Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	Klani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Flow Eventos, Mi Telefe, Telefe, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Austria	ORF On, Servus TV
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	Toffee Live, T Sports
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT 1
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, Unitel
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	CTV, fubo Sports Network, RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu
Colombia	Caracol TV, Ditu, RCN Television
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7, Teletica
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3, TV3 Play
Faroe-islands	Televarp
Fiji	FBC Sports
Finland	MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 2
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	ZEE5
Iran	Persiana Sports
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Kan 11, Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, Nippon TV
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV, Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Malaysia	TV Okey, unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet, TVM, Yes
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	FOX+, FOX Sports, VIX, ViX Premium
Moldova	We Sport
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	NPO 1, NPO Start, Ziggo Go
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Nicaragua	Tigo Sports
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	NRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Medcom GO, RPC, Telemetro, Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	SIC, Sport TV1, Sport TV5
Romania	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	meWATCH, Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play, STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC, KBS 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	STVS
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Varzish Sport
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	FOX Network, FOX One, Fubo Sports Network, Futbol de Primera Radio, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV 3, VTV Go


	Portugal		Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5
	1.66	3.80	5.25
	1.72	3.95	4.95
	1.72	3.7	5.95
	1.68	3.92	5.54	Watch
	1.7	3.65	5.75
	1.7	3.66	5.95
	1.69	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.93)	3.74 ↑ (3.25)	5.54 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
56.8%

Draw
25.8%

Croatia
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

29.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

29.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portugal's performance.

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.7%	20%	8.3%

Portugal - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: 117 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 86 - 73.5%). Croatia will win (votes: 8 - 6.8%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 19.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 65.5% – 81.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 7 - 70%). Croatia (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Croatia (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.29) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (1.74) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Portugal (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Croatia (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Costa D. (G) FC Porto 20. Cancelo J. Al Hilal 3. Dias R. Manchester City 13. Veiga R. Villarreal 25. Mendes N. PSG 15. Neves J. PSG 23. Vitinha PSG 18. Neto P. Chelsea 8. Fernandes B. Manchester United 17. Leao R. AC Milan 7. Ronaldo C. (C) Al Nassr	1. Livakovic D. (G) Fenerbahce 2. Stanisic J. Bayern Munich 6. Sutalo J. Ajax 3. Pongracic M. Fiorentina 14. Perisic I. PSV 10. Modric L. (C) 8. Kovacic M. Manchester City 13. Vlasic N. Torino 17. Sucic P. Inter 16. Baturina M. Como 11. Budimir A. Osasuna
Substitutes
4. Araujo T. Benfica 26. Conceicao F. Juventus 5. Dalot D. Manchester United 19. Guedes G. Real Sociedad 14. Inacio G. Sporting CP 11. Joao Felix Al Nassr 21. Neves R. 6. Nunes M. Manchester City 9. Ramos G. AC Milan 12. Sa J. (G) Wolves 24. Samu Costa Mallorca 2. Semedo N. Fenerbahce 10. Silva B. Real Madrid 22. Silva R. (G) Sporting CP 16. Trincao Sporting CP	5. Caleta-Car D. Lyon 25. Erlic M. Midtjylland 19. Fruk T. Rijeka 4. Gvardiol J. Manchester City 18. Jakic K. Augsburg 23. Kotarski D. (G) FC Copenhagen 9. Kramaric A. Hoffenheim 20. Matanovic I. Freiburg 7. Moro N. Bologna 26. Musa P. FC Dallas 12. Pandur I. (G) Rangers 24. Pasalic M. Orlando City 15. Pasalic M. Atalanta 21. Sucic L. Real Sociedad 22. Vuskovic L. Tottenham
Coaches
Martinez R.	Dalic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Dias R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Budimir A. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽,
59', Modric L. 🟨,
62', Vitinha ↓, Silva B. ↑,
63', Neto P. ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
63', Fernandes B. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
63', Cancelo J. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Ronaldo C. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Baturina M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
81', Ronaldo C. ↓, Neves R. ↑,
90+2', Vlasic N. ↓, Gvardiol J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ramos G. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
90+6', Kovacic M. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
90+8', Perisic I. 🟨,

Preview

Portugal is ranked FIFA: 5. Croatia is ranked FIFA: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 3.

Portugal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Croatia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portugal is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Portugal will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal
FIFA World Cup
27.06.26	Colombia - Portugal	0:0 ✺
23.06.26	Portugal - Uzbekistan	5:0 ✺
17.06.26	Portugal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
Friendly
10.06.26	Portugal - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Portugal - Chile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWTWW
- Croatia
FIFA World Cup
27.06.26	Croatia - Ghana	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Panama - Croatia	0:1 ✺
17.06.26	England - Croatia	4:2 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Croatia - Slovenia	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Croatia - Belgium	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Croatia - Portugal	1:1
05.09.24	Portugal - Croatia	2:1
Friendly
08.06.24	Portugal - Croatia	1:2
UEFA Nations League
17.11.20	Croatia - Portugal	2:3
05.09.20	Portugal - Croatia	4:1
Friendly
06.09.18	Portugal - Croatia	1:1
UEFA Euro
25.06.16	Croatia - Portugal	0:1 ET

Portugal - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide