Match Info

WORLD: FRIENDLY INTERNATIONAL

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay


	Portugal		Sweden

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.41	4.75	6.75
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.41	5.09	7.4
	1.42	5.1	7.31
	1.3	4.8	8
	1.43	4.85	6.8	Watch
	1.4	5.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	4.94 ↑ (3.89)	7.12 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
67.6%

Draw
19.1%

Sweden
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portugal's performance.

Sweden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	4.8%	0%

Portugal - Sweden Predictions

Users Predictions: Portugal will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patricio R. (G) 2. Semedo N. 3. Pepe (C) 4. Dias R. 19. Mendes N. 8. Fernandes B. 6. Palhinha J. 23. Nunes M. 10. Silva B. 9. Ramos G. 17. Leao R.	1. Olsen R. (G) 7. Holm E. 4. Hien I. 3. Lindelof V. (C) 6. Augustinsson L. 19. Svanberg M. 8. Cajuste J. 21. Kulusevski D. 9. Isak A. 11. Elanga A. 17. Gyokeres V.
Substitutes
5. Antonio Silva 7. Bruma 20. Conceicao F. 14. Inacio G. 18. Joao Mario 11. Jota Silva 16. Leite D. 21. Mota D. 15. Neves J. 12. Sa J. (G) 22. Soares S. (G) 13. Toti	13. Ekdal H. 10. Forsberg E. 25. Gudmundsson G. 18. Gustafson S. 12. Johansson V. (G) 2. Krafth E. 24. Nilsson G. 23. Nordfeldt K. (G) 26. Olsson S. 22. Ondrejka J. 14. Saletros A. 5. Wahlqvist L.
Coaches
Martinez R.	Tomasson J. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Leao R. ⚽, Silva B. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Nunes M. ⚽, Silva B. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Fernandes B. ⚽, Semedo N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Leao R. ↓, Bruma ↑,
46', Pepe ↓, Toti ↑,
46', Mendes N. ↓, Antonio Silva ↑,
57', 4 - 0, Bruma ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
59', 4 - 1, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Holm E. (A),
62', 5 - 1, Ramos G. ⚽, Semedo N. (A),
63', Elanga A. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
63', Holm E. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
64', Ramos G. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
64', Nunes M. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
71', Gyokeres V. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
71', Svanberg M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
75', Cajuste J. ↓, Olsson S. ↑,
82', Semedo N. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
90', 5 - 2, Nilsson G. ⚽, Kulusevski D. (A),

Preview

In this match Portugal is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portugal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal
UEFA Euro
19.11.23	Portugal - Iceland	2:0 ✺
16.11.23	Liechtenstein - Portugal	0:2 ✺
16.10.23	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Portugal	0:5 ✺
13.10.23	Portugal - Slovakia	3:2 ✺
11.09.23	Portugal - Luxembourg	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Sweden
Friendly
12.01.24	Sweden - Estonia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
19.11.23	Sweden - Estonia	2:0 ✺
16.11.23	Azerbaijan - Sweden	3:0 ✺
16.10.23	Belgium - Sweden	1:1 ✺
Friendly
12.10.23	Sweden - Moldova	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
14.10.20	Portugal - Sweden	3:0
08.09.20	Sweden - Portugal	0:2
Friendly
28.03.17	Portugal - Sweden	2:3
FIFA World Cup
19.11.13	Sweden - Portugal	2:3
15.11.13	Portugal - Sweden	1:0

Portugal - Sweden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide