Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)


	Portuguesa		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	6.25
	1.7	3.1	4.85
	1.71	3.16	5.35	Watch
	1.83	3.24	4.7
	1.7	3.1	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)	3.24 ↓ (3.55)	5.2 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
54.3%

Draw
28.2%

Nova Iguaçu
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 🟥,
63', Eduardo Biazus 🟥,
72', 🟥,
86', 1 - 0, Lusa ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).

Portuguesa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Nova Iguaçu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Portuguesa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Porto Vitória - Portuguesa	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Portuguesa - Rio Branco AC ES	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Água Santa - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWL
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Nova Iguaçu - Boavista	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Maricá - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa	1:1

Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide