Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Portuguesa SP U20		Referência U20

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.45	5.5
	1.94	2.51	5.80	Watch
	1.37	4.7	6.41
	1.45	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	4.04 ↓ (4.45)	5.73 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa SP U20
60.5%

Draw
23.1%

Referência U20
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

19.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa SP U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Referência U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa SP U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Referência U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Portuguesa SP U20 - Referência U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Keven ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Leonel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 2, Kaue ⚽,
90+3', Murillo 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Portuguesa SP U20 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Portuguesa SP U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa SP U20 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Portuguesa SP U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.09.25	Referência U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	0:0 ✺
12.08.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - Santo Andre U20	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Araçatuba FC U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	1:6 ✺
27.07.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - Referência U20	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - São Bento U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWTW
- Referência FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.09.25	Referência U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	0:0 ✺
12.08.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Referência U20	0:0 ✺
06.08.25	Referência U20 - São Bento U20	5:1 ✺
27.07.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - Referência U20	2:2 ✺
17.07.25	Referência U20 - União São João U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
05.09.25	Referência U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	0:0
27.07.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - Referência U20	2:2

Portuguesa SP U20 - Referência U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide