Match Info

Date: 12 October 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Potters Bar Town		East Thurrock United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	1.92	3.7	3.15
	1.98	3.89	3.3
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.97	3.82	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.14)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	3.15 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potters Bar Town
45.9%

Draw
25.2%

East Thurrock United
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

16.7%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potters Bar Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Potters Bar Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Thurrock United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Potters Bar Town - East Thurrock United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Potters Bar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Potters Bar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Potters Bar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.10.21	Horsham - Potters Bar Town	1:3 ✺
28.09.21	Haringey Borough - Potters Bar Town	2:2 ✺
25.09.21	Folkestone Invicta - Potters Bar Town	3:3 ✺
18.09.21	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
14.09.21	Potters Bar Town - Cheshunt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTTL
- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.10.21	East Thurrock United - Hornchurch	4:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.10.21	Boston United - East Thurrock United	4:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.09.21	Haringey Borough - East Thurrock United	5:1 ✺
English FA Cup
21.09.21	Needham Market - East Thurrock United	2:3 ✺
18.09.21	East Thurrock United - Needham Market	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
22.09.20	Potters Bar Town - East Thurrock United	1:0
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.08.19	East Thurrock United - Potters Bar Town	1:3

Potters Bar Town - East Thurrock United

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Potters Bar Town - East Thurrock United Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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