Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Potters Bar Town		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.75	3.25
	1.83	3.95	3.3
	1.92	3.96	3.18
	1.86	4.01	3.32
	1.8	3.75	3.5
	1.86	3.78	3.38
	1.83	3.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	3.88 ↑ (3.65)	3.32 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potters Bar Town
49.2%

Draw
23.4%

Bognor Regis Town
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

24.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

24.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potters Bar Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Potters Bar Town's performance.

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Mather J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, Fage-Burgin C. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Potters Bar won 1.

Recent matches Potters Bar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bognor Regis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Potters Bar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Potters Bar won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Potters Bar won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.12.24	Hashtag United - Potters Bar Town	4:1 ✺
10.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Potters Bar Town - Chichester City	4:3 ✺
23.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Potters Bar Town	2:2 ✺
18.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWTL
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	2:3 ✺
07.12.24	Dartford - Bognor Regis Town	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Chatham Town	1:7 ✺
23.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
16.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.02.24	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	2:2
30.09.23	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
21.03.23	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	0:2
27.08.22	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	1:2
22.01.22	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	2:0
18.09.21	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	2:2
25.01.20	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	0:1

Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide