The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pouso Alegre 31.4%
Draw 31%
Betim 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
29.1%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
28.9%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Betim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betim than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Pouso Alegre - Betim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Felipe (G) 3. Victao 4. Mailson 15. Samuel 2. Rafael Vaz 16. Guilherme Aguiar 8. Sandro Rios 19. Magno 17. Foguinho 9. Thaileon 20. Maxuel
1. Michael (G) 2. Diego Ferreira 3. Weverton 4. Eurico 23. Matheus Leal 5. Miticov 8. Fillipe Soutto 10. Diego Jardel 11. Joao Diogo 9. Paulo Henrique 7. Erick Salles
Substitutes
22. Caicedo J. 21. Cristian Bauer 7. Dagoberto 5. Felipe Moreira 23. Gabriel Falcao 13. Gabriel Moura 14. Guilherme Buscarioli 6. Jonathan 18. Martinez F. 12. Natan (G) 10. Ray Breno 11. Wandinho
12. Adriano (G) 15. Gabriel Souza 17. Gustavo Aguiar 14. Jonathan 6. Marangoni dos Santos C. 21. Marco Antonio 22. Pablinho 13. Patrick Vieira 18. Riquelmy 20. Vitinho 19. Wesley 16. Wesley Hudson
Coaches
Igor Guerra
Alex Nascif
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Thaileon 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Diego Jardel (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mailson ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
57', Guilherme Aguiar 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Erick Salles ⚽, Diego Jardel (A),
60', Foguinho ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
60', Thaileon ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
70', Joao Diogo ↓, Gustavo Aguiar ↑,
70', Paulo Henrique ↓, Vitinho ↑,
75', Caicedo J. 🟨,
76', Diego Jardel ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
86', Diego Ferreira ↓, Riquelmy ↑,
86', Fillipe Soutto ↓, Wesley Hudson ↑,
89', Magno ↓, Wandinho ↑,
90+2', Rafael Vaz ↓, Dagoberto ↑,
90+5', Michael 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Pouso Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Pouso Alegre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Pouso Alegre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).