Match Info

Mineiro - Round 4

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)


	Pouso Alegre		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.98	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3	3.05	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.9
	2.4	2.82	3.06	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.91)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	2.96 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
37.7%

Draw
31.4%

Athletic Club
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

31.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pouso Alegre's performance.

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Club might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pouso Alegre (1.76) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pouso Alegre (votes: 2 - 50%). Athletic (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anderson (G) 2. Da Silva 14. Vanderley 4. Xandao (C) 6. Nunes Oliveira M. 17. Alexandre Pena 21. Caua de Aguiar Alves M. 20. Romario 19. Pedro Arthur 11. Rubim T. 9. Nathan Palafoz	1. Eduardo Freire (G) 2. Douglas Pele 3. Edson Miranda 4. Indio G. 6. Zeca (C) 8. Ian Luccas 5. Cabezas G. 11. Luiz Filipe 10. David Braga 7. Vera D. 9. Tavares R.
Substitutes
23. Andre Krobel 18. De Paula 10. Gabriel Tota 25. Guilherme Buscarioli 27. Jhonatan Kauan 5. Mage 30. Natan (G) 29. Pedro Balotelli 26. Samuel 12. Thiago Braga (G) 3. Victao 22. Victor Gabriel	20. Caicedo Nestor 17. da Silva Sinfronio G. 14. Enzo 13. Felipe Vieira 16. Joao Oliveira 18. Kauan Lindes 15. Kazim 19. Leandro Alves 12. Robert (G)
Coaches
Danilo	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
12', 1 - 0, Nathan Palafoz ⚽, Romario (A),
20', Vanderley 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Tavares R. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 1 - 2, Tavares R. ⚽, Douglas Pele (A),
27', 1 - 3, Luiz Filipe ⚽, Ian Luccas (A),
28', Alexandre Pena 🟨,
42', Edson Miranda 🟨,
44', 2 - 3, Romario ⚽,
45+6', Zeca 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pedro Arthur ↓, Gabriel Tota ↑,
58', 3 - 3, Rubim T. ⚽, Nathan Palafoz (A),
69', Rubim T. ↓, De Paula ↑,
71', Luiz Filipe 🟨,
72', Edson Miranda ↓, Enzo ↑,
72', Zeca ↓, da Silva Sinfronio G. ↑,
72', Luiz Filipe ↓, Kazim ↑,
77', Caua de Aguiar Alves M. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
78', Ian Luccas ↓, Joao Oliveira ↑,
78', David Braga ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
79', 3 - 4, Tavares R. ⚽, Enzo (A),
82', Nathan Palafoz ↓, Pedro Balotelli ↑,
90+2', da Silva Sinfronio G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pouso Alegre won 0.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Club - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
17.01.26	URT - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Pouso Alegre - Água Santa	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Porto Vitória - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWWLL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
17.01.26	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Athletic Club - URT	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Athletic Club - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Coritiba - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.01.25	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	0:1
28.03.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	3:0
23.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:3
17.02.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	4:1
02.02.22	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:4
20.03.21	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	2:1

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