Match Info

Mineiro - Round 6

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	Pouso Alegre		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.3	3.75	1.5	Watch
	7.78	3.8	1.49
	6.24	3.77	1.51	Watch
	5.75	3.4	1.5
	7.56	3.63	1.51	Watch
	7.5	3.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↓ (8.5)	3.68 ↓ (4)	1.5 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
13.4%

Draw
25%

Atlético Mineiro
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

22.7%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.3%

21.8%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anderson (G) 17. Alexandre Pena 2. Da Silva 18. De Paula 10. Gabriel Tota 27. Jhonatan Kauan 5. Mage 6. Nunes Oliveira M. 20. Romario 3. Victao 4. Xandao	22. Everson (G) 5. Alexsander 28. Cuello 21. Franco A. 10. Gustavo Scarpa 17. Igor Gomes 36. Pascini K. 23. Preciado A. 19. Reinier 3. Roman I. 14. Vitor Hugo
Substitutes
8. Anderson A. 7. Caua de Aguiar Alves M. 13. Diego Porfirio 30. Felipe (G) 22. Fretes T. 9. Nathan Palafoz 29. Rosa C. 26. Samuel 15. Santos R. 12. Thiago Braga (G) 14. Vanderley	29. Caua 39. Cisse M. 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 38. Indio 32. Luis Gustavo 27. Minda A. 41. Murillo F. 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 34. Samuel 30. Victor Hugo 40. Vitao
Coaches
Danilo	Sampaoli J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Gabriel Tota ⚽, Victao (A),
39', Gabriel Tota 🟨,
43', Xandao 🟨,
45', Alexsander ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Cuello ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Cuello ⚽,
56', 🟨,
58', Reinier 🟨,
62', Anderson ↓, Thiago Braga ↑,
70', Roman I. ↓, Ruan Tressoldi ↑,
71', Cuello 🟨,
71', Cuello ↓, Minda A. ↑,
85', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
85', Preciado A. ↓, Natanael ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Ruan Tressoldi ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pouso Alegre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético MG is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Pouso Alegre	5:2 ✺
21.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	3:4 ✺
17.01.26	URT - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LLTWW
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Tombense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.01.25	Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
26.02.22	Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro	2:3
07.04.21	Atlético Mineiro - Pouso Alegre	1:0

Upcoming Matches