Match Info

Mineiro - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Filho D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Cruzeiro		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5	12.5
	1.14	6.9	14.5	Watch
	1.16	6.9	16.16
	1.27	4.61	13.88	Watch
	1.15	6	15
	1.12	6.45	16
	1.19	5.5	13.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.23)	5.91 ↑ (5.25)	14.51 ↑ (12.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
78%

Draw
15.6%

Pouso Alegre
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

17.5%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva (C) 88. Christian 10. Matheus Pereira 11. Gerson 19. Kaio Jorge	1. Thiago Braga (G) 3. Victao 14. Vanderley 4. Xandao (C) 6. Nunes Oliveira M. 20. Romario 18. De Paula 17. Alexandre Pena 19. Pedro Arthur 11. Rubim T. 8. Gabriel Tota
Substitutes
99. Arroyo K. 44. Bruno Alves 20. Bruno Rodrigues 23. Fagner 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 36. Kaua Prates 31. Matheus Cunha (G) 8. Matheus Henrique 22. Villarreal N. 5. Walace 94. Wanderson	29. Anderson A. 22. Biel 7. Caua de Aguiar Alves M. 2. Da Silva 16. Enzo 21. Fretes T. 25. Guilherme Buscarioli 5. Mage 12. Natan (G) 9. Nathan Palafoz 15. Ryan 26. Samuel
Coaches
Tite	Danilo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Gerson ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
29', Arroyo K. 🟨,
41', Pedro Arthur ↓, Biel ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Christian ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
62', Lucas Silva ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
62', Cassio ↓, Matheus Cunha ↑,
72', Gabriel Tota ↓, Anderson A. ↑,
72', Rubim T. ↓, Caua de Aguiar Alves M. ↑,
84', De Paula ↓, Nathan Palafoz ↑,
84', Alexandre Pena ↓, Ryan ↑,
86', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
89', Anderson A. 🟨,
90', Nunes Oliveira M. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),

Preview

First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.

Cruzeiro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Pouso Alegre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruzeiro is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.26	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.26	Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	URT - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.02.26	Mirassol - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.02.26	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWTW
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.26	Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Uberlândia - Pouso Alegre	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pouso Alegre - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Pouso Alegre	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.26	Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro	1:2
10.01.26	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	1:2
25.02.24	Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro	0:2
07.02.23	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	0:1
13.03.22	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	5:1
18.04.21	Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro	1:0

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