Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday


	Caldense		Ceará

	1	X	2
	7	3.75	1.53
	6	3.8	1.47
	6.25	3.75	1.47
	6.19	3.72	1.51
	6.5	3.7	1.47
	6.5	4.1	1.51
	6.2	4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↑ (5.33)	3.83 ↑ (3.35)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
14.4%

Draw
24%

Ceará
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

27.2%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

26.4%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Caldense - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caldense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ceará will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Caldense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceará in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ceará is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
23.02.23	Caldense - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Athletic Club - Caldense	3:2 ✺
11.02.23	Caldense - Villa Nova AC	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Caldense - Ipatinga	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Tombense - Caldense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ceará	2:5 ✺
17.02.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Ceará - Sport Recife	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
07.02.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWWW

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