The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pouso Alegre 31.1%
Draw 32.9%
Portuguesa RJ 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
32.4%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
34%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pouso Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa RJ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Lohan ⚽,
33', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
Preview
Pouso Alegre is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Portuguesa RJ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Portuguesa RJ - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.11%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.