Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre) 🌤️ ...


	Pouso Alegre		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	3.06	2.82	2.51
	3.11	2.63	2.6	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.45
	2.83	3.01	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.63)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	2.55 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
31.1%

Draw
32.9%

Portuguesa RJ
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

32.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

33.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Lohan ⚽,
33', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Juninho ⚽,

Preview

Pouso Alegre is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Portuguesa RJ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Portuguesa RJ - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.11%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
09.05.26	Pouso Alegre - America RJ	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	America RJ - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Pouso Alegre - Água Santa	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLL
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.26	Portuguesa RJ - Água Santa	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Água Santa - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Madureira	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	America RJ - Portuguesa RJ	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Pouso Alegre	2:0

Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa RJ