Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)
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Portuguesa RJ |
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Água Santa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.33 |
4.72 |
|
 |
1.74 |
3.3 |
4.79 |
Watch |
 |
1.73 |
3 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.2 |
4.81 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (2.14) |
3.21 ↑ (2.9) |
4.73 ↑ (3.56) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa RJ 52.5% | Draw 28.3% | Água Santa 19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa RJ's performance.Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Água Santa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa RJ that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Água Santa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Portuguesa RJ - Água Santa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Levi ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Matheus Iacovelli ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 1, Lohan ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Richard ⚽,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Portuguesa RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Portuguesa RJ is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portuguesa RJ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;