Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Água Santa		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.79	2.65
	2.92	2.61	2.77	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.5
	2.74	2.74	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa
32.4%

Draw
33.2%

Portuguesa RJ
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

32.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Água Santa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Água Santa - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Levi ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Água Santa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Portuguesa RJ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Água Santa - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Água Santa - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pouso Alegre - Água Santa	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.04.26	Água Santa - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Madureira - Água Santa	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.04.26	Votuporanguense - Água Santa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Madureira	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	America RJ - Portuguesa RJ	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Paysandu - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTL

Água Santa - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide