Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre) 🌤️ ...


	Pouso Alegre		Rio Branco AC ES

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.06	3.25	3.25
	2.1	3.29	3.24	Watch
	2.11	3.15	3.25
	1.93	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.98)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
44.5%

Draw
28.6%

Rio Branco AC ES
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Rubim T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent form of Pouso Alegre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rio Branco AC ES has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rio Branco AC ES may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pouso Alegre could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Maricá - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Boavista - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pouso Alegre - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLT
- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
28.05.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
21.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Água Santa - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
13.05.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTWL

Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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