Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Ciudad de Lucena		Pozoblanco

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.45	8.1
	1.25	5.66	9.57
	1.27	5.31	9.07
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.25	5.35	8.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	5.15 ↑ (4.71)	9 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Lucena
72.1%

Draw
17.7%

Pozoblanco
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19.3%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Pozoblanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozoblanco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Ciudad de Lucena - Pozoblanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Molina M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Perez Cruz J. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Leon M. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Diawara A. ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Galvez R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 2.

Ciudad de Lucena is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pozoblanco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pozoblanco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Ciudad de Lucena will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.3:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ciudad de Lucena won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pozoblanco	5	3	0	2	8:4	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.03.26	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Castilleja	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Chiclana	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWWW
- CD Pozoblanco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.03.26	Pozoblanco - Bollullos	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Pozoblanco - San Roque de Lepe	4:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sevilla C - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Pozoblanco - Linense	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Onubense - Pozoblanco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.11.25	Pozoblanco - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0
11.05.25	Pozoblanco - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
12.01.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Pozoblanco	2:0
11.02.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Pozoblanco	0:0
01.10.23	Pozoblanco - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2
05.02.23	Pozoblanco - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
09.10.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Pozoblanco	1:0

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