Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Pozuelo de Alarcón		Racing Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.7	5.9
	1.48	3.89	6.37
	1.7	3.45	4.77	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.46	3.82	6.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)	3.67 ↑ (3.34)	5.9 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pozuelo de Alarcón
59.8%

Draw
24.8%

Racing Madrid
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pozuelo de Alarcón's performance.

Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pozuelo de Alarcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón - Racing Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Pacheco V. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Martin Escolano S. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Reguilon M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 3 - 1, Neto J. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Pozuelo de Alarcón has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing Madrid is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pozuelo de Alarcón is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pozuelo de Alarcon	5	1	3	1	7:10	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.04.26	Las Rozas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Unión Adarve	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Atlético Madrid C	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Siello - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Racing Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.04.26	Racing Madrid - Leganés B	0:6 ✺
29.03.26	Trival Valderas - Racing Madrid	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Racing Madrid - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Parla - Racing Madrid	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Racing Madrid - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.25	Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1

Pozuelo de Alarcón - Racing Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide