Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Pozuelo de Alarcón		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.02	2.92	2.24
	3.02	2.93	2.24
	3.04	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	3.01 ↓ (3.13)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pozuelo de Alarcón
29.8%

Draw
29.7%

Alcalá
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1.

Pozuelo de Alarcón has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcalá is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pozuelo de Alarcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alcalá will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pozuelo de Alarcón won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pozuelo de Alarcón won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.11.23	Torrejón - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Real Madrid C - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Móstoles URJC	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Rayo Vallecano B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.11.23	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alcalá - Canillas	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Siello - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.04.23	Alcalá - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:1
04.12.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	0:0
26.01.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	2:1
19.09.21	Alcalá - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0
28.02.21	Alcalá - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0
29.11.20	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	0:0
17.11.19	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	2:1

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