Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Alcalá |
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Colonia Moscardó |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.4 |
4.33 |
6.25 |
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1.44 |
4.05 |
5.9 |
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1.38 |
4.77 |
7.75 |
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1.52 |
4.37 |
4.98 |
 Watch |
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1.4 |
4 |
6.5 |
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1.44 |
4.51 |
6.51 |
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1.41 |
4.25 |
6.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.85) |
4.33 ↑
(3.35) |
6.36 ↑
(3.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alcalá
64.3% | Draw
21.2% | Colonia Moscardó
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colonia Moscardó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colonia Moscardó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Alcalá (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcalá (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Guillen S. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Viana E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 3 - 0, Javi H. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 4.Alcalá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Moscardó's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Moscardó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Alcalá is seen as the favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.5:0.3).Including home matches between the teams, Alcalá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | RSD Alcala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
