Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	México		Pozuelo de Alarcón

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.98	2.58
	2.01	3.22	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.03	3.39	3.54
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.42)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	3.23 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
42.1%

Draw
29.5%

Pozuelo de Alarcón
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pozuelo de Alarcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

México - Pozuelo de Alarcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).

In recent matches, México has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pozuelo de Alarcón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, México won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pozuelo de Alarcon	5	1	3	1	7:10	-3	6
14	Mexico FC	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.01.26	México - Leganés B	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trival Valderas - México	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	México - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWW
- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Sebastian Reyes B	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.09.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - México	1:2

México - Pozuelo de Alarcón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide