Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Leganés B		Parla

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.35	6.9
	1.36	4.55	7.69
	1.39	4.27	7.58	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.44	4.15	7.45
	1.37	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.28 ↓ (4.42)	7.27 ↓ (7.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés B
66.1%

Draw
21.3%

Parla
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

20.6%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

19.3%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Leganés B - Parla Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - Parla (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Parla (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Sule ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés B won 2.

Leganés B has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Parla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leganés B is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Leganés B will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Leganés B won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Leganes B	5	2	1	2	9:6	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leganés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.01.26	Alcorcón B - Leganés B	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	México - Leganés B	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Leganés B - Tres Cantos	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWW
- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.01.26	Parla - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Parla - Torrejón	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Galapagar - Parla	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alcorcón B - Parla	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.09.25	Parla - Leganés B	1:1
11.05.25	Leganés B - Parla	1:1
12.01.25	Parla - Leganés B	1:3
04.02.24	Leganés B - Parla	1:2
17.09.23	Parla - Leganés B	1:3
10.03.21	Parla - Leganés B	1:2
15.11.20	Leganés B - Parla	3:1

Leganés B - Parla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide