Match Info

Date: 23 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Villaviciosa de Odón		Moratalaz

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Villaviciosa de Odón
36%

Draw
29.4%

Moratalaz
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

29.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22.2%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villaviciosa de Odón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Moratalaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaviciosa de Odón than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villaviciosa de Odón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moratalaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Villaviciosa de Odón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Moratalaz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villaviciosa de Odón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villaviciosa de Odón won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Villaviciosa de Odón won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Villaviciosa de Odón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.02.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Galapagar	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Alcorcón B - Villaviciosa de Odón	3:1 ✺
13.02.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Las Rozas	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	Complutense Alcalá - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villaviciosa de Odón	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLTL
- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.02.22	Moratalaz - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Las Rozas - Moratalaz	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Moratalaz - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	Moratalaz - Complutense Alcalá	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Torrejón - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWL

Villaviciosa de Odón - Moratalaz