Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: Sam Ao Stadium (Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan)


	Prachuap		Police Tero

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.1	5
	1.47	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.84	5.4
	1.52	4.82	5.35
	1.46	4.3	5.57	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	4.41 ↑ (4.18)	5.37 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prachuap
61.9%

Draw
20.9%

Police Tero
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

17.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prachuap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prachuap than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prachuap that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Police Tero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Bootprom C. (C) 88. Phasukihan J. 25. Tanthatemee P. 14. Akkratum P. 5. Airton Tirabassi 4. Thongkiri C. 16. Wettayawong K. 11. Pongsuwan S. 9. Thongthae C. 91. Samuel Rosa 33. Derley	29. Makthuam N. (G) 2. Samre E. 35. Honny I. (C) 30. Creevey M. 11. Bunta S. 8. Churok T. 10. Karikari K. 42. Panthong S. 13. Bueraheng A. 9. Tsoumou J. 33. Islame Y.
Substitutes
28. Boodjinda A. 10. Jantum P. 74. Jensen P. 99. Jeong W. 8. Kanyaroj S. 17. Laptrakul C. 3. Saengdao C. 31. Seaisakul P. 1. Songsangchan R. (G)	15. Buangam C. 19. Chaowana Y. 27. Darbellay D. 4. Harape P. 3. Inprakhon T. 14. Kaminthong P. 44. Moraksa R. 18. Namphueng S. 25. Teangdar Y. (G)
Coaches
Pobprasert S.	Hoe T.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prachuap won 0.

Recent matches Prachuap is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Police Tero has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Police Tero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Prachuap is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Prachuap won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Prachuap won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prachuap FC
Thai League 1
03.03.24	Muangthong United - Prachuap	2:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
28.02.24	Prachuap - Lamphun Warriors	1:2 penalties ✺
Thai League 1
24.02.24	Prachuap - Khonkaen United	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Prachuap - Thai Port	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTT
- Police Tero
Thai League 1
02.03.24	Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Buriram United - Police Tero	6:2 ✺
17.02.24	Police Tero - Ratchaburi	0:1 ✺
14.02.24	Chonburi - Police Tero	4:2 ✺
11.02.24	Police Tero - Thai Port	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
07.10.23	Police Tero - Prachuap	1:1
05.03.23	Police Tero - Prachuap	1:1
08.10.22	Prachuap - Police Tero	2:4
23.04.22	Police Tero - Prachuap	0:0
21.11.21	Prachuap - Police Tero	1:1
27.02.21	Police Tero - Prachuap	1:1
17.10.20	Prachuap - Police Tero	2:2

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