Match Info

Date: 23 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Praiense		Sertanense

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Praiense
18.9%

Draw
27.1%

Sertanense
54%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

28%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

20.3%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Praiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Praiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Praiense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sertanense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sertanense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sertanense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Praiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Praiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.22	Praiense - Vitória de Sernache	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Idanhense - Praiense	3:1 ✺
29.01.22	Marinhense - Praiense	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Praiense - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
16.01.22	SB Castelo Branco - Praiense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLTLW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.22	Oleiros - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Sertanense - Peniche	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	Idanhense - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	Sertanense - Condeixa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTT

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.11.21	Sertanense - Praiense	3:0
01.12.19	Praiense - Sertanense	3:0

Praiense - Sertanense