Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Prat		Badalona

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	2.85	3.05	2.36
	2.89	3.03	2.43
	2.88	2.92	2.44
	2.85	3.05	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (4.22)	3.01 ↓ (3.48)	2.35 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prat
31.2%

Draw
30.2%

Badalona
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.2%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

25.5%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prat's performance.

Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Badalona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prat than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Badalona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Prat - Badalona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prat won 0.

Prat is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Badalona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Badalona is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Prat won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Prat won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AE Prat
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Tona - Prat	2:3 ✺
23.03.25	Prat - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Reus FC Reddis - Prat	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Prat - Sabadell B	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	San Cristóbal - Prat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL
- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Badalona - Manresa	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Vilassar de Mar - Badalona	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Badalona - CE Europa B	3:4 ✺
09.03.25	Atlètic Lleida - Badalona	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Badalona - Peralada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Badalona - Prat	1:0
03.03.24	Prat - Badalona	0:2
15.10.23	Badalona - Prat	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.04.22	Badalona - Prat	1:0
14.11.21	Prat - Badalona	0:1
21.02.21	Badalona - Prat	1:1
22.11.20	Prat - Badalona	0:1

Prat - Badalona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide