Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Prato		Ghiviborgo

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.00	6.25
	1.46	3.85	5.40
	1.43	4.07	5.92
	1.43	4.16	6.5
	1.41	4.00	5.85
	1.50	4.04	6.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	4.02 ↑ (3.88)	6.07 ↓ (8.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
62.7%

Draw
22.5%

Ghiviborgo
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

23.3%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ghiviborgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Prato - Ghiviborgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Prato may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Prato as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Prato in today's match, at odds of 1.37.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Prato has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Prato against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Prato	6	4	2	0	9:4	5	14
18	Ghiviborgo	6	0	1	5	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.26	Sasso Marconi - Prato	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Prato - Grassina	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Prato	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Prato - Ternana	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Prato - Seravezza Pozzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWL
- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.26	Ghiviborgo - Mezzolara	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ghiviborgo - Terranuova Traiana	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Ghiviborgo - Foligno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
29.03.26	Ghiviborgo - Prato	0:3
16.11.25	Prato - Ghiviborgo	2:1

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