Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Donato Tavarnelle		Ghiviborgo

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.88	2.52
	2.7	2.84	2.57
	2.73	2.94	2.59
	2.7	2.7	2.5
	2.69	3.21	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.65)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	2.55 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Donato Tavarnelle
33.4%

Draw
31.1%

Ghiviborgo
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

San Donato Tavarnelle - Ghiviborgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Ciravegna B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 11).

San Donato has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ghiviborgo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ghiviborgo has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, San Donato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	San Donato	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11
17	Ghiviborgo	9	0	3	6	7:17	-10	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.04.26	Cannara - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1
29.03.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Siena	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Prato - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT
- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.04.26	Ghiviborgo - Foligno	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ghiviborgo - Prato	0:3 ✺
25.03.26	Ghiviborgo - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Siena - Ghiviborgo	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ghiviborgo - Follonica Gavorrano	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
30.11.25	Ghiviborgo - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1
12.01.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ghiviborgo	0:1

San Donato Tavarnelle - Ghiviborgo