Match Info

Prva liga - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina (Ajdovščina)

Referee: Sabanagic D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Primorje		Maribor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.55	4.05	1.6	Watch
	4.55	4.27	1.66
	4.59	4.28	1.63	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.62
	4.61	3.95	1.59	Watch
	4.5	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.99)	4.08 ↑ (3.75)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Primorje
20.4%

Draw
22.6%

Maribor
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.2%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primorje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maribor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Primorje - Maribor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Macan T. (G) 17. Besir Z. 6. Ficko J. 4. Klemencic T. 5. Melentijevic S. 7. Murillo R. 13. Petek G. 32. Rak N. 95. Stor L. 33. Strajnar M. 10. Zavnik M.	1. Jug A. (G) 3. Bumbic C. 7. Cipot T. 32. Krajnc L. 6. Mbondo B. 17. Ojo S. 79. Pejicic D. 15. Repas J. 14. Seri J. 55. Spanring M. 29. Vizinger D.
Substitutes
. Bameyi D. 8. Demirovic E. 3. Fogec M. 9. Gulic M. 21. Jermol N. 28. Jovanovic S. 99. Kadric H. 30. Mohorovic P. (G) 80. Mutavcic M. . Parmac M. 31. Rafiu I. 23. Raspet J.	25. Belovic N. 21. Borys K. 98. Gardies T. (G) 43. Handanovic T. (G) 11. Reghba A. 44. Rekik O. 4. Slana F. 2. Soudani El A. 36. Tadic M. 30. Tetteh B. 70. Tshipamba I. . Viher N.
Coaches
Andjelkovic M.	Dudic F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Cipot T. ⚽,
23', Besir Z. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Pejicic D. ⚽, Ojo S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Besir Z. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
46', Zavnik M. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
58', Murillo R. ↓, Kadric H. ↑,
73', Spanring M. ↓, Rekik O. ↑,
73', Stor L. ↓, Rafiu I. ↑,
73', Pejicic D. ↓, Reghba A. ↑,
78', Reghba A. 🟨,
81', Ojo S. ↓, Soudani El A. ↑,
81', Vizinger D. ↓, Tetteh B. ↑,
82', Strajnar M. 🟨,
82', Ficko J. ↓, Gulic M. ↑,
87', Cipot T. ↓, Tshipamba I. ↑,
90+1', Rekik O. 🟥,
90+1', Bumbic C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Primorje won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Primorje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Maribor is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Primorje won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Primorje won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Maribor: 44.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19:8	11	20

Last Results with these Odds

Maribor - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.61%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Primorje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
07.02.26	Primorje - NK Bravo	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Koper - Primorje	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Primorje - Budafoki	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Primorje - Kapfenberger SV	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Primorje - Arsimi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW
- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.02.26	Maribor - Koper	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Domžale - Maribor	N/A ✺
01.02.26	Maribor - Celje	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Maribor - Jagiellonia Białystok	Canceled ✺
19.01.26	Maribor - Debreceni	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 W?T?L

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.10.25	Maribor - Primorje	4:0
10.08.25	Primorje - Maribor	0:2
11.05.25	Maribor - Primorje	3:1
12.03.25	Primorje - Maribor	2:1
24.11.24	Primorje - Maribor	2:0
01.09.24	Maribor - Primorje	4:1
Slovenian Cup
23.11.23	Primorje - Maribor	1:3

Upcoming Matches