Match Info

2. SNL - Round 12

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovenia	17:00	NZS


	Primorje		Rudar Velenje

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.20	2.60
	2.35	3.15	2.65
	2.35	3.22	2.73
	2.45	3.44	2.70	Watch
	2.30	3.15	2.65
	2.46	3.56	2.62
	2.6	3.33	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.68)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	2.6 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primorje
37.6%

Draw
27.5%

Rudar Velenje
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primorje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Rudar Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Primorje - Rudar Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Primorje won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Primorje (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Rudar have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Primorje has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Primorje has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Primorje against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 9:3 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Rudar	12	6	0	6	21:18	3	18
12	Primorje	12	3	4	5	12:17	-5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Primorje - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.44%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Rudar Velenje - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Primorje
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.10.26	Bistrica - Primorje	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Primorje - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Brežice - Primorje	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Triglav - Primorje	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Vrhnika - Primorje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTTL
- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.10.26	Rudar Velenje - Slovan Ljubljana	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Tabor Sežana - Rudar Velenje	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Bistrica - Rudar Velenje	3:1 ✺
28.09.26	Rudar Velenje - Dravinja	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Brežice - Rudar Velenje	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
10.03.24	Primorje - Rudar Velenje	3:1
18.08.23	Rudar Velenje - Primorje	0:1
10.04.23	Rudar Velenje - Primorje	0:2
24.09.22	Primorje - Rudar Velenje	2:2
03.04.22	Rudar Velenje - Primorje	2:0
18.09.21	Primorje - Rudar Velenje	4:0
31.03.21	Rudar Velenje - Primorje	2:0

Primorje - Rudar Velenje