Match Info

TANZANIA: LIGI KUU BARA - ROUND 8

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Prisons		Geita Gold

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.12	3.08	3.38
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.09	3.15	3.28
	2.1	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)	3.24 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
43.3%

Draw
28.9%

Geita Gold
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Geita Gold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prisons than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prisons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geita Gold than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Prisons - Geita Gold Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Prisons is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Geita Gold has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Geita Gold could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Prisons will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Prisons won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Prisons won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.10.23	Kinondoni MC - Prisons	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Prisons - JKT Tanzania	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Prisons - Mtibwa Sugar	3:2 ✺
05.10.23	Prisons - Simba	1:3 ✺
15.09.23	TRA United - Prisons	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWLL
- Geita Gold FC
Tanzanian Premier League
26.10.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Geita Gold	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Geita Gold - Dodoma Jiji	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Geita Gold - Young Africans	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Geita Gold - Kinondoni MC	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Kagera Sugar - Geita Gold	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
24.04.23	Geita Gold - Prisons	1:3
16.11.22	Prisons - Geita Gold	2:4
26.05.22	Prisons - Geita Gold	1:1
23.12.21	Geita Gold - Prisons	1:0

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