Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 6

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)


	Prisons		Simba

	1	X	2
	9.2	4.15	1.32
	9.49	4.3	1.34	Watch
	10	3.75	1.33
	10.2	4.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.72 ↑ (6.82)	4.09 ↑ (4)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
9.3%

Draw
22.2%

Simba
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.6%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

22%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prisons than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Prisons - Simba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Simba will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Mbisa M. (G) 27. Chanongo H. 10. Juma J. 14. Kimenya S. 47. Mhilu M. 28. Mpole G. 15. Mutinda M. 24. Ojwang M. 19. Ramadhan D. 26. Sabiyanka L. (C) 60. Sengati K.	39. Tanja M. (G) 17. Chama C. 23. De Reuck R. 7. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 12. Kapombe S. (C) 32. Kibabage N. 10. Loemba I. 40. Mwalimu S. 20. Oura A. A. 25. Toure I.
Substitutes
2. Heritier L. . Kaboma N. . Kasanga I. (G) . Lugendo I. 30. Lunkombi G. . Martin E. . Mbangula S. . Mwajanga O. 50. Mwakyusa E. (G) . Ochu O.	28. Abel H. (G) 30. Camara N. . Duchu . Kibaila B. 35. Maema N. 4. Masinde V. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 9. Mwangosi B. 37. Semfuko H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Mwalimu S. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, De Reuck R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Chanongo H. ↓, Kaboma N. ↑,
63', Juma J. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
63', Sabiyanka L. ↓, Lunkombi G. ↑,
66', Gueye L. ↓, Mpanzu E. ↑,
73', Loemba I. ↓, Maema N. ↑,
81', Kibabage N. 🟨,
82', Sengati K. ↓, Ochu O. ↑,
82', Mpole G. ↓, Mwajanga O. ↑,
85', Ochu O. 🟨,
87', Kapombe S. ↓, Duchu ↑,
87', Mwalimu S. ↓, Mwangosi B. ↑,
87', Kagoma Y. ↓, Semfuko H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 1.

Prisons has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Simba is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Prisons has had a series of home games.

In this match, Simba is the clear favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.02.26	Prisons - Namungo	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Prisons - Coastal Union	1:4 ✺
06.02.26	Prisons - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Prisons - JKT Tanzania	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLT
- Simba SC
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Simba - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
11.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Simba	0:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
07.02.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Simba	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Simba - Espérance ST	2:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
29.01.26	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
11.02.25	Simba - Prisons	3:0
22.10.24	Prisons - Simba	0:1
06.03.24	Simba - Prisons	1:2
05.10.23	Prisons - Simba	1:3
30.12.22	Simba - Prisons	7:1
14.09.22	Prisons - Simba	0:1
26.06.22	Prisons - Simba	1:0

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