Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pro Livorno Sorgenti		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.5	3.5	1.65
	4.5	3.65	1.58
	4.8	3.64	1.56
	5.1	4	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.55)	3.68 ↑ (3.21)	1.6 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Livorno Sorgenti
19.4%

Draw
24.4%

San Donato Tavarnelle
56.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

21.3%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Livorno Sorgenti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Livorno Sorgenti's form might have worsened.

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Donato Tavarnelle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Livorno Sorgenti than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Donato Tavarnelle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Pro Livorno is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Donato is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match San Donato is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Livorno Sorgenti
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.11.21	Foligno - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	4:0 ✺
14.11.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - SanGiovanniValdarno	0:5 ✺
07.11.21	Montespaccato - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	3:1 ✺
31.10.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Follonica Gavorrano	0:3 ✺
24.10.21	Trestina - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLW
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.11.21	Arezzo - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2 ✺
14.11.21	San Donato Tavarnelle - Cascina Valdera	3:1 ✺
07.11.21	Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
31.10.21	San Donato Tavarnelle - SanGiovanniValdarno	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLW

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - San Donato Tavarnelle

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Preview

Form

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