Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 24Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Follonica Gavorrano |
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San Donato Tavarnelle |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.22 |
3 |
3 |
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2.19 |
2.97 |
3.22 |
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2.22 |
3.05 |
3.17 |
 Watch |
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2.2 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
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2.19 |
2.97 |
3.25 |
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2.2 |
3 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.24) |
2.97 ↓
(3.03) |
3.16 ↑
(3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano
41% | Draw
30.4% | San Donato Tavarnelle
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+1%)The ML Model estimate for San Donato Tavarnelle aligns with the current prediction.Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 2.Neither of the teams is performing well right now. Follonica Gavorrano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
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| 11 | San Donato | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
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Last Results with these Odds
San Donato Tavarnelle - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.67%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 12.10.25 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano | 1:1 | | 30.03.25 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano | 0:1 | | 17.11.24 | Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle | 1:2 | | 07.01.24 | Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle | 2:1 | | 27.02.22 | Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle | 0:1 | | Coppa Italia Serie D | | | 03.11.21 | Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle | 2:1 penalties | | Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 17.10.21 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano | 3:3 |
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