The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foligno 46.4%
Draw 28.4%
San Donato Tavarnelle 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
27.2%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.7%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foligno's performance.
San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Donato Tavarnelle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foligno that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Donato Tavarnelle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Calonaci L. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Pupo Posada Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 7)
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).