Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 33

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Pro Palazzolo		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	4.8
	1.64	3.43	4.8
	1.69	3.26	4.8
	1.67	3.4	4.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.02)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	4.83 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Palazzolo
54.4%

Draw
26.9%

Real Calepina
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

29.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Palazzolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Palazzolo's performance.

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Calepina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Palazzolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Calepina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Palazzolo - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, De Angelis C. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Pro Palazzolo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Calepina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pro Palazzolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pro Palazzolo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Palazzolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group B
24.03.24	Villa Valle - Pro Palazzolo	1:3 ✺
17.03.24	Pro Palazzolo - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Pro Palazzolo - Piacenza	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Brusaporto - Pro Palazzolo	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Pro Palazzolo - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLT
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.24	Real Calepina - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Arconatese - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Tritium - Real Calepina	0:3 ✺
25.02.24	Real Calepina - Caravaggio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
19.11.23	Real Calepina - Pro Palazzolo	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Pro Palazzolo - Real Calepina	2:1

Pro Palazzolo - Real Calepina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide