Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 30

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.75
	4.75	3.34	1.65
	4.75	3.34	1.66
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	4.78	3.34	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.69)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
20.5%

Draw
27.4%

Desenzano Calvina
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

28%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Calepina won 0.

Real Calepina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Desenzano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Desenzano is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Calepina won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Calepina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.03.24	Tritium - Real Calepina	0:3 ✺
25.02.24	Real Calepina - Caravaggio	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	Casatese - Real Calepina	4:2 ✺
04.02.24	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.03.24	Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Desenzano Calvina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Piacenza - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	Desenzano Calvina - Legnano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
01.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:1
15.01.23	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:1
11.09.22	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	0:0
12.02.22	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
06.10.21	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:0
16.05.21	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:2
31.01.21	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	0:0

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