Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Pro Patria		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.1	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3	4
	1.85	3	4.1
	1.87	3.23	4.42
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.86	3.32	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.11)	3.16 ↑ (3.01)	4.11 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
49%

Draw
28.8%

Lucchese
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Pro Patria - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Pro Patria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lucchese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pro Patria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pro Patria is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.20	Renate - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	Pro Patria - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
07.10.20	Olbia - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Pro Patria - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWTL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.20	Lucchese - Como	2:3 ✺
11.10.20	Pro Vercelli - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Lucchese - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
04.10.20	Novara - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
27.09.20	Lucchese - Pergolettese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.19	Lucchese - Pro Patria	3:1
25.11.18	Pro Patria - Lucchese	2:2

Pro Patria - Lucchese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide