Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lucchese		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3.05	3.6
	1.93	3.11	3.98
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.93	3.14	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	3.08 ↓ (3.36)	3.88 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
47.3%

Draw
29.3%

Grosseto
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grosseto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucchese - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grosseto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grosseto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lucchese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
28.11.21	Pescara - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Lucchese - Siena	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Gubbio - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Lucchese - Montevarchi	2:0 ✺
01.11.21	Reggiana - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTWL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
05.12.21	Grosseto - Pescara	1:2 ✺
27.11.21	Siena - Grosseto	1:3 ✺
21.11.21	Grosseto - Montevarchi	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Virtus Entella - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Pontedera - Grosseto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Grosseto - Lucchese	2:1
07.10.20	Lucchese - Grosseto	0:2
Italian Serie C Group B
18.03.15	Grosseto - Lucchese	1:1
03.11.14	Lucchese - Grosseto	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Vado - Grosseto	✺

Lucchese - Grosseto