The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lucchese 47.3%
Draw 29.3%
Grosseto 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
27.5%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
21.6%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grosseto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lucchese - Grosseto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).
Recent matches Lucchese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Grosseto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Grosseto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Lucchese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.