Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)


	Pro Sesto		Correggese

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.2
	1.68	3.45	4.45
	1.7	3.5	4.58	Watch
	1.74	3.55	4.7
	1.71	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.25)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	4.45 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
53.3%

Draw
26.2%

Correggese
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Sesto's performance.

Correggese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correggese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Sesto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Correggese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Sesto - Correggese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Pro Sesto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Correggese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Pro Sesto is considered a favorite.

We predict that Pro Sesto will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Sesto - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.12.25	Tuttocuoio - Pro Sesto	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Pro Sesto - Piacenza	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Pistoiese - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Pro Sesto - Pro Palazzolo	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Imolese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWWW
- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.12.25	Correggese - Crema	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Trevigliese - Correggese	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Correggese - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.11.25	Correggese - Progresso	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	SantAngelo - Correggese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL

Pro Sesto - Correggese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide