Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Pro Sesto

	1	X	2
	2	3.05	3.5
	2.04	3.03	3.5
	1.87	3.54	3.62	Watch
	2.06	3.04	3.48
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)	3.13 ↓ (3.53)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
45.2%

Draw
29%

Pro Sesto
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Pistoiese - Pro Sesto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pistoiese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Banfi S. ⚽,
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Pistoiese has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pro Sesto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pistoiese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pistoiese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pistoiese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Asti - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Trevigliese - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Pistoiese - Lentigione	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Progresso - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWT
- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.11.25	Pro Sesto - Pro Palazzolo	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Imolese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pro Sesto - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Pro Sesto - Rovato Vertovese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.21	Pro Sesto - Pistoiese	2:2
25.10.20	Pistoiese - Pro Sesto	1:2

Pistoiese - Pro Sesto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide