Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Correggese		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.05	1.46
	6.32	3.83	1.49	Watch
	6.5	3.4	1.44
	5.97	4.26	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (3.9)	3.89 ↑ (3.33)	1.47 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correggese
15%

Draw
23.4%

Pistoiese
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.3%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

26.7%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correggese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correggese's form might have worsened.

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Correggese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Correggese - Pistoiese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pistoiese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Bertolo F. 🟥,
33', 0 - 1, Campagna F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
76', 0 - 3, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Correggese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pistoiese is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pistoiese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pistoiese has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pistoiese is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Correggese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Correggese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	17:1	16	18
8	Correggese	6	3	1	2	7:9	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Pistoiese - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.45%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Pro Palazzolo - Correggese	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Correggese - Imolese	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sangiuliano City Nova - Correggese	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Correggese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Rovato Vertovese - Correggese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.02.26	Pistoiese - Ancona	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.02.26	Pistoiese - Tuttocuoio	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Pro Palazzolo - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pistoiese - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Pistoiese - Sangiuliano City Nova	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Correggese - Pistoiese	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:1
07.05.23	Correggese - Pistoiese	3:2
21.12.22	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:0

Correggese - Pistoiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide