Match Info

Druha Liga - Final Stage - Final

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Probiy Horodenka		Kolos Kovalivka 2

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.63	4.03	Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)	3.67 ↑ (3.61)	3.88 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
51.2%

Draw
25.1%

Kolos Kovalivka 2
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.7%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Kolos Kovalivka 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
64', 2 - 0, Orynchak B. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Golovkin I. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Kolesnyk D. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Shevchuk S. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Probiy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kolos 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kolos 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Probiy is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Probiy will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Probiy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Druha Liga
23.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Probiy Horodenka - Revera 1908	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Skala 1911 - Probiy Horodenka	4:2 ✺
03.05.25	Probiy Horodenka - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Rukh Lviv 2 - Probiy Horodenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- Kolos Kovalivka 2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
23.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Metalist 1925 2	5:2 ✺
05.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Oleksandriya 2	1:1 ✺
24.04.25	Vorskla 2 - Kolos Kovalivka 2	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Nyva Vinnycja - Kolos Kovalivka 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
23.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	0:1

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