Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)


	Kolos Kovalivka 2		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.00	3.30
	2.02	3.2	3.45
	1.97	3.13	3.35
	2.18	3.07	3.31	Watch
	2.01	3.17	3.47
	2.02	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolos Kovalivka 2
44.2%

Draw
28.8%

Probiy Horodenka
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolos Kovalivka 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka 2 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Pogorilyi S. (C) 4. Basov S. 14. Dymnych D. 20. Kharzhevskyi P. 10. Khrul D. 22. Kolesnyk D. 45. Melnychenko I. 19. Misyura Y. 25. Nedolya A. 9. Taranukha R. 54. Vasylets M.	25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 44. Batz M. 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 21. Girnyi M. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 30. Lepskyi O. 19. Napuda V. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Savitskyi A.
Substitutes
6. Andryushchenko D. 13. Kanayev V. 11. Lyubko V. 12. Malaki O. 31. Mikheev D. (G) 91. Prorokov V. (G) 21. Rublyov B. 7. Shevchuk S. 3. Sokol B. 33. Stargorodskyi M.	31. Arkhypchuk K. (G) 56. Borysenko M. 9. Burenko M. 8. Drygan B. 13. Galonskyi V. 4. Kozachuk A. 70. Yaroshenko S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Nedolya A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
51', 2 - 0, Nedolya A. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Fesenko A. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Girnyi M. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Taranukha R. ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, Kolesnyk D. ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th in the Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 16th in the Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Kolos 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kolos 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kolos 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kolos 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Kolos Kovalivka 2	10	4	0	6	11:17	-6	12
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka 2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.26	Kulykiv-Bilka - Kolos Kovalivka 2	5:0 ✺
04.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Poltava	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka 2	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Oleksandriya	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
30.05.25	Probiy Horodenka - Kolos Kovalivka 2	3:3 penalties
23.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	0:1

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