Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Probiy Horodenka		Polissya Zhytomyr 2

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	2.85
	2.15	3.40	2.90
	2.11	3.59	2.99	Watch
	2.14	3.42	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
42.7%

Draw
26.3%

Polissya Zhytomyr 2
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Polissya Zhytomyr 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr 2 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Probiy Horodenka - Polissya Zhytomyr 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Arkhypchuk K. (G) 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 13. Galonskyi V. 21. Girnyi M. 16. Guk I. 15. Kharuk R. 30. Lepskyi O. 19. Napuda V. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Savitskyi A.	98. Talko D. (G) 62. Danfakha M. 97. Gryshchenko M. 94. Gryshkevych D. 25. Ivanov O. 53. Kondratiuk D. 72. Kramar V. 33. Mezentsev V. 88. Panchyshyn B. (C) 99. Rasko M. 75. Romanchuk I.
Substitutes
12. Barabanov V. (G) 44. Batz M. 56. Borysenko M. 9. Burenko M. 8. Drygan B. 99. Goncharuk D. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 4. Kozachuk A. 14. Matveev K. 10. Orynchak B. 2. Radulskyi V. 70. Yaroshenko S.	81. Ally I. 21. Babych R. 84. Cherchukan S. 12. Drobot A. (G) 41. Kovalenko B. 61. Pires Correia Lima J. W. 6. Tomanzoto B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Ivanov O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Girnyi M. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation - Druha Liga and 16th in the Relegation - Druha Liga).

Probiy has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Polissya 2 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Probiy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Probiy is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Probiy has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Probiy against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Probiy Horodenka	13	2	3	8	12:32	-20	9
16	Zhytomyr 2	13	1	5	7	18:27	-9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.10.26	Probiy Horodenka - Poltava	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	Kulykiv-Bilka - Probiy Horodenka	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLLL
- Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.10.26	Polissya Zhytomyr 2 - Kulykiv-Bilka	2:4 ✺
03.10.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	3:3 ✺
28.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr 2 - Kolos Kovalivka 2	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr 2 - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
03.05.25	Probiy Horodenka - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	3:1
21.09.24	Polissya Zhytomyr 2 - Probiy Horodenka	1:0

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