Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 20

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	UCSA		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.35	4.25
	1.81	3.22	4.12
	1.59	3.85	5.06	Watch
	1.75	3.25	3.9
	1.87	3.64	3.84
	1.35	4.1	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.35)	3.57 ↓ (4.1)	4.7 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
54.5%

Draw
25.9%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCSA's form might have worsened.

Metalurh Zaporizhya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metalurh Zaporizhya's recent form is better than expected.

UCSA - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barantsov K. (G) 11. Emere A. 8. Kireev A. 18. Lebedev S. 15. Osman O. 17. Pedro Acacio 32. Petko S. (C) 45. Sabiyev D. 78. Wendell 14. Zakhidnyi P. 28. Zhdanovych O.	1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 19. Borysenko V. (C) 22. Izotov D. 50. Kirichenko D. 91. Mamrosenko I. 28. Rudavskyi M. 97. Seytkhalilov S. 14. Sitalo A. 16. Vorona M. 17. Yurechko I.
Substitutes
87. Dmytro M. 47. Dziubuk I. 99. Kovalev A. (G) 21. Matheus Fogo 10. Matheusinho 38. Nemetskov M. 12. Postemskyi O. (G) 97. Shevchuk O. 3. Sydorenko D. 5. Yevdokymov A. 6. Yuvkhimets R. 9. Zadnipryanets B.	3. Doroshenko D. 7. Irodovskyi D. 27. Klymenko V. 29. Lisnyak R. 76. Mokrytskyi V. (G) 9. Nekhtiy V. 8. Savitskyi A. 23. Slyusar D. 10. Zelinskyi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', Pedro Acacio 🟨,
57', Kireev A. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Kirichenko D. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Lebedev S. ↓, Matheus Fogo ↑,
58', Kirichenko D. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Seytkhalilov S. ⚽,
62', Mamrosenko I. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Emere A. ⚽,
72', Kirichenko D. ↓, Lisnyak R. ↑,
74', Petko S. 🟨,
78', Kireev A. ↓, Yuvkhimets R. ↑,
79', Seytkhalilov S. 🟨,
79', Seytkhalilov S. ↓, Savitskyi A. ↑,
84', Matheus Fogo 🟨,
87', Emere A. ↓, Zadnipryanets B. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Yurechko I. ⚽,
90+2', Sitalo A. ↓, Nekhtiy V. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

In this match, UCSA is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCSA won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UCSA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
21.03.26	Chornomorets Odesa - UCSA	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	UCSA - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - UCSA	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - UCSA	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTWW
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.03.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	0:3
17.11.24	UCSA - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:2
21.09.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	1:2
08.06.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	0:4
01.06.24	UCSA - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:1

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