Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Probiy Horodenka		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.00	2.10
	3.75	3.2	1.92
	3.29	3.24	1.95
	3.43	3.38	2	Watch
	3.36	3.17	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.75)	3.2 (3.2)	2 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
26.6%

Draw
28.3%

Viktoriya Sumy
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.4%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Probiy will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Viktoriya will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 44. Batz M. 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 99. Goncharuk D. 16. Guk I. 15. Kharuk R. 4. Kozachuk A. 77. Kulish M. 19. Napuda V. 2. Radulskyi V.	31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 8. Dobrokhotov Y. 45. Ilchuk I. 6. Khamelyuk V. 10. Knysh D. 16. Novotryasov A. 28. Ryabyi D. 25. Sharay S. 22. Shpyryonok A. 33. Ulyanov D. (C)
Substitutes
31. Arkhypchuk K. (G) 56. Borysenko M. 9. Burenko M. 21. Girnyi M. 13. Halonskyi V. 6. Ivanychuk V. 30. Lepskyi O. 11. Lisnyak R. 17. Petryk A. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Savitskyi A.	17. Dedyaev A. 27. Dolinskyi D. 7. Hryshchenko D. 15. Kirichenko D. 11. Lebedenko O. 70. Lyegostayev A. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 29. Ryabyi A. 5. Vasyliev O. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Ulyanov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 2, Chernov O. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Probiy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Viktoriya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Viktoriya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Probiy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Probiy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viktoria	10	6	2	2	12:6	6	20
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.08.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Probiy Horodenka	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLTLT
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Viktoriya Sumy	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Kulykiv-Bilka	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka 2	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.05.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Probiy Horodenka	0:1
02.11.25	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	3:2

Upcoming Matches